SEVENTH INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC SCHOOL
in SAINT-PETERSBURG, RUSSIA, SEPTEMBER 4 - 8, 2007
"MODELLING and ANALYSIS of SAFETY and RISK
in COMPLEX SYSTEMS" (MA SR – 2007)
STATUS
The year 2007 International Scientific School "Modeling and Analysis of Safety and Risk in Complex Systems (MA SR - 2007)" will be held in Saint-Petersburg, Russia, September 4 - 8. It will be organized by the Institute of Problems of Mechanical Engineering of the Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), the Saint-Petersburg Institute of Informatics and Automation of RAS, Defence Engineering Technical University and Bureau of Credit Risk Estimation and Analysis "INO_TEL" Ltd. with the support of the Russian Foundation for Basic Research.
All participants will have the possibility to see the wonderful city - Saint-Petersburg.
The official languages of the School are English and Russian.
The main research areas to be discussed at the School in the year 2007 are:
1. The consideration of methods and models for quantitative measurement of risk in economic, financial and social systems;
2. The consideration of methods and models for quantitative measurement and analysis of risk in complex technical systems (gas and petroleum production and transportation, space, aviation, navy, nuclear power, etc.);
3. Identification of weak parts in functioning and topology of complex infrastructures;
4. Logic-and-probabilistic (LP) risk models in banking, security portfolio, quality and efficiency, risk management of company;
5. Risk attributes;
6. The development of relations between various areas of application of risk theory.
These following more specific topics will be discussed at the School:
a) Risk models in Business and Finance
Market Risk;
Operational and Liquidity Risk;
Credit Risk;
Risk of security portfolio;
Risk in problems of strategic management;
LP-models of failure risk with groups of incompatible events;
Accuracy, robustness and transparency of risk estimation methods in business.
b) Risk models in Engineering and Ecology
Risk models in nuclear power;
Scenarios and models of safety and failure risk;
LP risk models for systems with multi-state elements;
Identification and optimization in risk problems;
Risk analysis and risk management;
Software for risk modeling and risk analysis;
Identification of weak parts in functioning and topology of complex infrastructures.
Leading scientists will give lectures in the field of financial, social, informational and technical risks. The scientific program includes reports and software demonstrations.
INTERNATIONAL PROGRAM COMMITTEE
Chairman:
K.V. Frolov, Academician (Russia, IME RAS),
Co-chairmen:
A. Agarwal, Professor (India, Indian Institute of Finance),
N. Machutov, corresponding member RAS (Russia, IME RAS),
I.A. Ryabinin, Professor (Russia, Naval Academy),
K. Giannopoulos, Professor (UAE, British University in Dubai),
S. Lloyd (USA, University or Rhode Island),
E.D. Solojentsev, Professor (Russia, IPME RAS).
|
G.A. Ershov (Russia, "AtomEnergoProject") |
A.S. Mozhaev (Russia, Sevzapmontazhautomatika) |
|
Yu.A. Esipov (Russia, Rostov-on-Don University) |
F. Popentiu (UK, City University, UNESCO Chair) |
|
M.S. Finkelstein (S. Africa, University of Free State) |
R. Righini (ENEA, Italy) |
|
D.A. Indeitsev (Russia, IPME RAS) |
A. Rotshtein (Israel)(USA) |
|
H. Kumamoto (Japan, Kyoto University) |
S.G. Tsiramua (Georgia, Tbilisi University) |
|
V.M. Matrosov (Russia, IME RAS) |
B.G. Volik (Russia, IPC RAS) |
|
N.F. Morosov (Russia, SPSU) |
R.M. Yusupov (Russia, SPII RAS) |
|
C. Acerbi (Abax Bank) |
A.P. Martins (Portugal, Universidade Catolica Portuguesa) |
|
G. Barone-Adesi (Switzerland) |
M.S. Nikulin (France, University Bordeaux) |
|
J. Cotter (University College Dublin, Ireland) |
A.A. Novoselov (Russia, ICM SB RAS) |
|
G.V. Dvas (Russia, Administration of Leningrad Region) |
I. Peaucelle (France, CNRS/CEPREMAP) |
|
D.Yu. Golembiovsky (Russia, Bank "ZENIT") |
G. Sorwar (UK, The University of Nottingham) |
|
N.V. Hovanov (Russia, SPSU) |
L. Spierdijk (Netherlands, University of Groningen) |
|
A.I. Kibzun (Russia, MIA) |
S. Uryasev (USA, University of Florida) |
|
H.-J. Lenz, (Germany, Freie Universitat) |
V.V. Vitlinsky (Ukraine, KNEU) |
E.D. Solojentsev, Professor, (Russia, IPME RAS) - chairman,
G.M. Reinstein (Russia, Okeanpribor) - vice-chairman,
V.V. Karassev (Russia, IPME RAS) - secretary,
V.A. Melnikov (Russia, METU).
Authors who wish to participate in the School should send a paper to risk@sapr.ipme.ru, before April 25, 2007 as Microsoft Word file (not more 6 pages, type 11pt). Prior publication all papers will be peer refereed. We will send the invitation to authors of accepted papers till May 15, 2007 by E_mail.
The accepted papers will be published as Proceedings of the School by support of Russian Foundation for Basic Research and sponsors.
The Organizing Committee is inviting any other interested parties to support financially the School. Sponsors will be honorary guests of the School. Sponsors may place their logotypes and advertising in school's exhibition hall and all printing materials.
The registration fee is 300 USD before June, 25, 2007 and 400 USD after June, 25, 2007.
___________________________________________________________________
Tuesday, September 4
__________________________________________________________________
Plenary session 1, Conference Hall, IPME RAS
Chairman I.A. Ryabinin
|
1000- 1030 |
Opening of the International Scientific School MA SR - 2007. |
|
1030 - 1100 |
- Romney B. Duffey (Canada, Ontario, Chalk River, Atomic Energy of Canada Limited), John W. Saull (UK, East Grinstead, International Federation of Airworthiness). Managing And Measuring Risk In Technological Systems. |
|
1100 - 1130 |
- H. Madsen, P. Thyregod (Denmark, The Technical University of Denmark), G. Albeanu (Romania, The University of Oradea), Fl. Popentiu (UK, City University London). Risk pollution in the cement plants - a case study within NATO Science Programme. |
|
1130 - 1200 |
- V.V. Vitlinsky (Ukraine, Kiev, Kiev National Economic University), A. Matviychuk (Ukraine, Kiev, State Tax Administration of Ukraine). The assessment of risk of entertainment's bankruptcy in the conditions of transformational economics. |
|
1200 - 1220 |
- Coffee |
|
1220 - 1250 |
- J.V. Kolari (USA, Texas A&M University), M.V. Sokolov (Russia, Eurosib TB"), N.V. Hovanov (Russia, St. Petersburg, St-Petersburg State University). Additive Monetary Indices Of Value In Exchange. |
|
1250 - 1320 |
- I.A. Ryabinin (Russia, St. Petersburg, Naval Academy). Mathematical Review Of Problems Of Reliability, Viability And Safety. |
|
1320 - 1350 |
- David Valis (Czech Republic, Brno, University of Defence). Contribution To Stochastic Methods Of Complex Systems Risk Analysis. |
Section "Risk Models in Business and Finances", Conference Hall, IPME RAS
Chairman V.V. Vitlinsky
|
1500-1520 |
- Tseng-Chung Tang (Taiwan, National Formosa University). Stock Market Reaction to Reorganization Outcome. |
|
1520 - 1540 |
- Javier Perote (Spain, Madrid, Rey Juan Carlos University), Esther B. Del Brio (Spain, Salamanca, University of Salamanca). A Note on Generalising Gram-Charlier Densities. |
|
1540 - 1600 |
- V.V. Vitlinsky, P.I. Verchenko, I.F. Shatarskaya (Ukraine, Kiev, Kiev National Economic University). Securities inertia and risk. |
|
1600 - 1620 |
- G.I. Kolesnikov (Russia, "Nortgaz"), N.V. Hovanov, M.S. Yudaeva (Russia, St. Petersburg, St-Petersburg State University). Portfolio's Expected Profitability And Risk Evaluation By Nonnumeric, Inexact And Imperfect Information. |
|
1620 - 1640 |
- G.A. Tyryguina (Russia, Togliatti, Togliatti State University). A approach to risk estimate of portfolio investor. |
|
1640 - 1700 |
- Break |
|
1700 - 1720 |
- L. I. Krasnikova, T. Podvysotskaya (Ukraine, Kiev, National University "Kyiv-Mohyla Academy"). Investigating The Role Of Health: Is It Really An Intangible Resource For Economic Growth ? |
Section "Risk in Engineering and Ecology", Auditorium 9, IPME RAS
Chairman I.A. Ryabinin
|
1500-1520 |
- P.N. Pustylnik (Russia, St. Petersburg, Russian State Pedagogic University by Gertsen A.I.). The Decreasing Of The Probability Of The Risk Of Initiation Of Technogenic Catastrophe By Means Application Of The Problem Approach In Process Teaching Discipline Of Technological Cycle. |
|
1520 - 1540 |
- A.S. Mozhaev (Russia, St. Petersburg, JSC "SPIK SZMA"). Certification of the software for automated calculations of systems' safety and technical risks "ARBITER". |
|
1540 - 1600 |
- A.V. Savina (Russia, Moscow, STC "Indistrial Safety"). Accidental Risk Assessment For Chemical Product Recovery Departments Of By-Product Coke Processes. |
|
1600 - 1620 |
- E.M. Kochanova (Russia, St.Petersburg, Krylov's Shipbuilding Research Institute). Standard ecosystem conception as basis for analysis of ecological risk for marine technical objects. |
|
1620 - 1640 |
- O.O. Shmidt (Russia, Krasnoyarsk, Siberian Federal University, Polytechnical Institute). Estimation Of Risks In Technical Systems. |
|
1640 - 1700 |
- Break |
|
1700 - 1720 |
- Frank van het Veld, Hans Boot, Freddie Kootstra (Netherlands, Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research TNO Built Environment en Geosciences). RISKCURVES: A comprehensive program package for performing a Quantitative Risk Assessment. |
|
1720 - 1740 |
- Frank van het Veld (Netherlands, Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research TNO Built Environment en Geosciences), Della Wong (Canada, Calgary, SHELL), Jan Windhorst (Canada, Red Deer, NOVA Chemicals ). Personnel-ize Your Risk. |
|
1740 - 1800 |
- G.M. Reinstein (Russia, St. Petersburg, SPE "Okeanpribor"). About increasing of reliability and analysis of safety of designed new complex technical systems for exploitation in oceans. |
___________________________________________________________________
Wednesday, September 5
__________________________________________________________________
Plenary session 2, Conference Hall, IPME RAS
Chairman N.V. Hovanov
|
1000 - 1030 |
- Avner Ben-Yair (Israel, Beer-Sheva, Sami Shamoon College of Engineering), D. Golenko-Ginzburg (Israel, Beer-Sheva, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev), D. Greenberg (Israel, Ariel, Academic College of Judea and Samaria), S. Ljubkin (Russia, Moscow, Russian Project Management Association), S. Orehov (Russia, Moscow, Russian State Humane University). Managing Long - Term Multi-Variant Complex Projects With Uncertainty. |
|
1030 - 1100 |
- Harin A. (Russia, Moscow, Modern Humanitarian Academy). Principle Of Uncertain Future, Examples Of Its Application In Economics, Potentials Of Its Applications In Theories Of Complex Systems, In Set Theory, Probability Theory And Logic. |
|
1100 - 1130 |
- V.V. Karasev, E.D. Solojentsev (Russia, St.Petersbutg, IPME RAS). LP-Theory Of Risks Of Catastrophes And Bribes. |
|
1130 - 1200 |
- D. Cassimon (Belgium, Antwerp, University of Antwerp, Institute for Development Policy and Management), M. De Backer (Belgium, Beerse, Janssen Pharmaceutica), P.J. Engelen (Netherlands, Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht School of Economics, Tjalling C. Koopmans Institute), L. Thomassen, M. Van Wouwe (Netherland, Utrecht, RODEO Research Centre, University of Antwerp). Valuation of a Pharma R&D Licensing Opportunity Using Compound Option Pricing. |
|
1200 - 1220 |
- Coffee |
|
1220 - 1250 |
- Li-Chiu Chi, Tseng-Chung Tang (Taiwan, National Formosa University). Wealth Effect of Financial Distress on Industry Rivals. |
|
1250 - 1320 |
- A. Novosyolov (Russia, Krasnoyarsk, Academgorodok, Institute of Computing Modeling SB RAS), D. Satchkov (Russia, FactSet). Obtaining Non-Normal Portfolio Return Distributions Out Of Variance-Covariance Based Factor Models. |
|
1320 - 1350 |
- Marie-Florence Lamy (France, Groupe Esc-ROUEN, Rouen Business School). The BASEL 2 framework implementation and securitization. |
Section "Risk Models in Business and Finances", Conference Hall, IPME RAS
Chairman A.A. Novosyolov
|
1500-1520 |
- E. Stavrova (Bulgaria, Blagoevgrad, SWU "N.Rilsky"). Bank Control And Stability In Bulgarian Banking Markets. |
|
1520 - 1540 |
- V.V. Karasev, E.D. Solojentsev (Russia, St.Petersbutg, IPME RAS). Bureau of Credit Risk Estimation and Analysis. |
|
1540 - 1600 |
- O.N. Pomazun (Ukraine, Kiev, Kiev National Economic University). The Usage Of The Logic-And-Probabilistic Modelling In Terms Of Re-Structuring The Enterprise. |
|
1600 - 1620 |
- Roberto J. Santillan Salgado (Mexico, EGADE-ITESM Campus Monterrey). Application of the Real Options Methodology to Value Acquisition Targets. |
|
1620 - 1640 |
- Panayiotis F. Diamandis (Greece, Athens, Athens University of Economics and Business), Georgios P. Kouretas (Greece, Rethymno, University of Crete), Leonidas Zarangas (Greece, Preveza, Technological Educational Institute of Epirus). Value-at-Risk for long and short trading positions: The case of the Athens Stock Exchange. |
|
1640 - 1700 |
- Break |
|
1700 - 1720 |
- D. Golenko-Ginzburg (Israel, Beer-Sheva, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev), D. Greenberg (Israel, Ariel, Academic College of Judea and Samaria), Avner Ben-Yair(Israel, Beer-Sheva, Sami Shamoon College of Engineering), S. Ljubkin (Russia, Moscow, Russian Project Management Association), T. Orel (Russia, Moscow, Moscow Humane Economy Institute). Estimating Reliability Value For Pert-Cost Network Projects. |
Section "Risk in Engineering and Ecology", Auditorium 9, IPME RAS
Chairman I.A. Ryabinin
|
1500-1520 |
- A.V. Goropashnaya (Russia, St.Petersburg, Krylov's Shipbuilding Research Institute). Adaptation of logical and probabilistic methods of estimation of weight, importance, contribution, loss and activity of elements for non-monotone logical functions. |
|
1520 - 1540 |
- David Valis (Czech Republic, Brno, University of Defence). Contribution To Consequences Analysis Using Fuzzy Probability. |
|
1540 - 1600 |
- Yu.V. Yesipov (Russia, Rostov-na-Donu, South Scientific Center of RAS), A.I Cheremisin (Russia, Rostov-na-Donu, Rostov-on-Don Service Institute), F.A. Samsonov (Russia, Rostov-na-Donu,, Rostov-on-Don Higher Military Missile School). The Possibility Risk Assessment Of System With the Ammonia Danger Object. |
|
1600 - 1620 |
- Yu.V. Yesipov (Russia, Rostov-na-Donu, South Scientific Center of RAS), V.F. Zolotuhin, A.V. Popov (Russia, Rostov-na-Donu,, Rostov-on-Don Higher Military Missile School). Prediction Of Injury At Adverse Confluence Of Circumstances. |
|
1620 - 1640 |
- B.V. Sokolov, S.A. Potryasaev, A.V. Ikonnikova (Russia, St. Petersburg, SPII RAS), D.A. Ivanov (Germany, Chemnitz University of Technology). Model and algorithm of operative redistribution of control function among nodes of reliable information system. |
|
1640 - 1700 |
- Break |
|
1700 - 1720 |
- A.A. Ryzhenko, A.Ya. Fridman (Russia, Apatity, Institute for Informatics and Mathematical Modelling of Technological Processes, Kola Science Centre of RAS). Modeling of Industrial And Ecological Risk For Fire-Risk Highly Explosive Objects. |
|
1700 - 1720 |
- E.L. Shanina (Russia, Moscow, STC "Indistrial Safety"). Quantitative risk assessment for trunking products pipeline with broad fraction of light hydrocarbons. |
|
1700 - 1720 |
- V.S. Safonov, V.V. Lesnykh, N.N. Radaev, A.V. Bochkov (Russia, Moscow, "VNIIGAZ Ltd."). Methodical And Model Aspects Of Stability Of United Gas Transmission System of Russia Against Acts Of Terrorism. |
___________________________________________________________________
Thursday, September 6
__________________________________________________________________
Plenary session 3, Conference Hall, IPME RAS
Chairman N.V. Hovanov
|
1000 - 1030 |
- G. Sh. Tsitsiashvili (Russia, Vladivostok, Institute for Applied Mathematics, Far Eastern Branch of RAS). Asymptotic Analysis of Logical Systems with Unreliable Elements. |
|
1030 - 1100 |
- M.S. Skvortsov (Russia, St. Petersburg, JSC "SPIK SZMA"). Results of development of technical and economic feasibility study methods for structurally complex systems reliability. |
|
1100 - 1130 |
- Yu.V. Yesipov, S.I. Masichev, V.M. Muhortov (Russia, Rostov-na-Donu, South Scientific Center of RAS). The Risk Pathology Prediction Of Man Cardiovascular System With Help Of The Analog Electric Models. |
|
1130 - 1200 |
- R.M. Yusupov, B.V. Sokolov, N.P. Kirillov (Russia, St. Petersburg, SPII RAS), S.V. Ablameyko, O.I. Semenkov (Belarus, United Institute of Informatics Problems Of Belarus NAN). New Scientific Tendency In Development Of Technology Of Situation Control In Extreme Situations. |
|
1200 - 1220 |
- Coffee |
|
1220 - 1250 |
- A.V. Sigal (Ukraine, Simferopol, V. I. Vernadskiy Tavrida National University). Optimization level of economic risk on basis of solution of antagonistic games in conditions of partial definition. |
|
1250 - 1320 |
- A.Ya. Fridman, O.V. Fridman (Russia, Apatity, Institute for Informatics and Mathematical Modelling of Technological Processes, Kola Science Centre of RAS). Safety Simulation Based upon Normal Performance Model. |
|
1320 - 1350 |
- A.I. Grazhdankin (Russia, Moscow, STC "Indistrial Safety"). Features of providing of safety exploitation of dangerous industrial objects under conditions of modern productive relations. |
Section "Risk Models in Business and Finances", Conference Hall, IPME RAS
Chairman V.V. Vitlinsky
|
1500-1520 |
- V.V. Vitlinsky (Ukraine, Kiev, Kiev National Economic University), L. L. Makhanets (Ukraine, Chernovtsy, Chernovtsy National University named Yu. Fedkovich). Some approaches to estimation of country risk. |
|
1520 - 1540 |
- T.A. Urazaeva (Russia, Yoshkar-Ola, Mari State Technical University). Risk, Probabilistic Uncertainty And Uncertainty Of Probabilistic Measures In Portfolio Analysis. |
|
1540 - 1600 |
- M.V. Sokolov (Russia, St. Petersburg, Eurosib-TB Limited). On axiomatization of rank-dependent utility. |
|
1600 - 1620 |
- Jarko Fidrmuc (Germany, Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich), Christa Hainz (Germany, Munich, University of Munich), Anton Malesich (Slovakia, Bratislava, Comenius University Bratislava). Default Rates in the Loan Market for SMEs: Evidence from Slovakia. |
|
1620 - 1640 |
- T.V. Kortunova, Yu.V.Chemeris (Russia, St. Petersburg, SUAI). LP-models for credit risk management. |
|
1640 - 1700 |
- Break |
|
1700 - 1720 |
- A.V. Naumov, A.A. Khoreva, A.M. Tchaika (Russia, Moscow, Moscow Aviation Institute). Transportation Company Management Under Reliability Requirements. |
Section "Risk in Engineering and Ecology", Auditorium 9, IPME RAS
Chairman I.A. Ryabinin
|
1500 - 1520 |
- S.Yu. Yakovlev, N.V. Isakevich (Russia, Apatity, Institute for Informatics and Mathematical Modelling of Technological Processes, Kola Science Centre of RAS). Quantitative Industrial-Ecological Risk Analysis on Object Level. |
|
1520 - 1540 |
- Yu.V. Yesipov, E.B. Kavitskiy (Russia, Rostov-na-Donu, South Scientific Center of RAS), V.A. Akopyan (Russia, Rostov-na-Donu,, SII of Mechanics and Applied Mathematics of South State University). The Experimental Substantiation Of the Spectral Criteria For Resource Assessment In the Structures. |
|
1540 - 1600 |
- V.N. Odintsev (Russia, Moscow, Institute of Problem of Complex Development of Depths). Probabilistic Assessments Of Mine Floodings. |
|
1600 - 1620 |
- A.V. Mohov (Russia, Rostov-na-Donu, South Scientific Center of RAS). Estimation of Danger and Prevention of Water Inrushes in Mine Tunnel From Flooded Coal-Mines. |
|
1620 - 1640 |
- V.A. Buzin (Russia, St.Petersburg, State Hydrological Institute). Risk of flooding on the rivers of Russia: The analysis of tendencies and possible development of a situation in the near future. |
|
1640 - 1700 |
- Break |
|
1700 - 1720 |
- Z. K. Avdeeva (Russia, Moscow, Institute of Control Science RAS). Revealing Of Threats Of Complex Systems Development On The Basis Of Cognitive Approach. |
|
1720 - 1740 |
- A.S. Lebedeva (Russia, Moscow, VNIIST Institute). Risk-Based Development Of Pipeline Operation Strategy. |
|
1740 - 1800 |
- E.V. Bobrikov, V.M. Gavrilenko, G.A. Ershov, Yu. L. Ermakovich, A.N. Sobolev, A.S. Solodovnikov, Yu.B. Fomina (Russia, St. Petersburg, St-Petersburg Scientific Research Institute "AtomEnergoProject"). Use of Deterministic and Probabilistic Approaches for Probabilistic Analysis of Safety of Nuclear Power Plant. |
___________________________________________________________________
Friday, September 7
__________________________________________________________________
Plenary session 4, Conference Hall, IPME RAS
Chairman N.V. Hovanov
|
1000 - 1030 |
- V.G. Krymsky, F.M. Akhmedjanov, A. Kh. Abdullin (Russia, Bashkortostan, Ufa, Ufa State Aviation Technical University). Decision Support In Risk Analysis: Reasonable Modification Of Approach Based On Imprecise Prevision Theory. |
|
1030 - 1100 |
- B.A. Kulik (Russia, St.Petersbutg, IPME RAS). Logical And Probabilistic Analysis Of Intelligence Systems On Basis Of Cortege Algebra. |
|
1100 - 1130 |
- T.A. Martynova (Russia, Krasnoyarsk, Siberian Federal University). Method Of Calculation Of Generalized Coherent Risk Measure. |
|
1130 - 1200 |
- D.N. Verzilin, V.V., Uyba, N.A. Ryzhkov (Russia, St.Petersburg, SPII RAS). Risk Analysis And Quality Control In Strategic Management: Inter-Disciplinary Relations. |
|
1200 - 1220 |
- Coffee |
|
1220 - 1250 |
- Frank van het Veld, Freddie Kootstra (Netherlands, Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research TNO Built Environment en Geosciences). A New Time-Based Numerical Approach To Calculate The Risk Of Hazardous Activity. |
|
1250 - 1320 |
- E.D. Solojentsev, I.V. Mashkantsev (Russia, St.Petersburg, IPME RAS). "Research of Risks" Discipline. |
|
1320 - 1350 |
- V. V. Afanasiev, Yu. E. Polskiy (Russia, Kazan, Kazan State Technical University named A.N. Tupolev). Analysis of Nonlinear Dynamic Systems Stochastics Risk On the Basis Of Complex Diagnostics. |
Section "Risk Models in Business and Finances", Conference Hall, IPME RAS
Chairman A.A. Novosyolov
|
1500-1520 |
- E.B. Pesikov (Russia, St. Petersburg, North - Western Institute of Print of St. Petersburg State University of the Technology and Design). Analysis Of Efficiency And Risk Of Marketing Strategy Of Virtual Publishing - Polygraphic Enterprise With Simulation Modeling. |
|
1520 - 1540 |
- I.V. Mashkantsev, E.D. Solojentsev (Russia, St.Petersburg, IPME RAS). Formal Logical And Probabilistic Risk Theory With Groups Of Incompatible Events. |
|
1540 - 1600 |
- V. Udovenko (Ukraine, Kiev, Kyiv national economic university). Conflictness As A Measure Of Risk In Transform Economic. |
|
1600 - 1620 |
- I.G. Lukianenko, S. Huzenko (Ukraine, Kiev, National University of " Kiev-Mohyla Academy"), Yu. Gorodnichenko (USA, University of Michigan). Border Effect: East And West In Ukraine ? |
|
1620 - 1640 |
- A.O. Nedosekin (Russia, Moscow, "IFEL Rus"), A.V. Lukashev (Russia, Moscow, "Devexperts"). Identification of Scoring Model Of Making Decision About Credit's Issue. |
|
1640 - 1700 |
- Break |
|
1700 - 1720 |
- A.O. Nedosekin (Russia, Moscow, "IFEL Rus"). Bank risks map as mirror of system of balanced strategic indicators. |
|
1800 - |
- Closing Of Scientific School MA SR - 2007 (Conference Hall, IPME RAS). |
Section "Risk in Engineering and Ecology", Auditorium 9, IPME RAS
Chairman I.A. Ryabinin
|
1500 - 1520 |
- G.A. Ershov, A.I. Kalinkin, A.A. Kalinkin, O.A. Kornienko (Russia, St.Petersburg, St-Petersburg Scientific Research Institute "AtomEnergoProject"). Results of Comparative Analysis Of Program Complexes Applying For Reliability Evaluation Of Complicated Technical Systems. |
|
1520 - 1540 |
- E.A. Granovsky, V.A. Lyfar, A.P. Vorona (Ukraine, Severodonetsk, Scientific Center of Risk Research "Rizikon"). Modelling Of the Casual And Determioned Processes Of Occurrence And Development Of Industrial Failures With Use Of the Software System "RIZEX-2". |
|
1540 - 1600 |
- A.A. Degtyareva, I.A. Kruchinina (Russia, Moscow, STC "Indistrial Safety"). Theory and Practice of Liability Insurance of Owners of Dangerous Objects. |
|
1600 - 1620 |
- A.A. Dubok, Yu.V. Esipov (Russia, Rostov-na-Donu, South Scientific Center of RAS). Structural Health Monitoring By Nanodimensional Ferroelectric Sensors Of Dynamic Deformation. |
|
1620 - 1640 |
- Ju.S. Mishenkina (Russia, Rostov-na-Donu, Rostov-on-Don Service Academia). The Possibility Risk Assessment Of The System "Gas-Distribution Communications - Negative Effects". |
|
1640 - 1700 |
- Break |
|
1700 - 1720 |
- A.V. Melnikova, A.S. Lebedeva, G.A. Milko-Butovsky, V.V. Aladinsky (Russia, Moscow, VNIIST Institute). Evaluations of Pipe Manufacturing and Pipeline Construction Quality Based on Analysis of Risks. |
|
1720 - 1740 |
- N.Yu. Ryzhenko (Russia, Apatity, Institute for Informatics and Mathematical Modelling of Technological Processes, Kola Science Centre of RAS). Analysis And Estimation Of Safety Of Hydroengineering Objects Of Accumulators Of Liquid Industrial Waste. |
|
1800 - |
- Closing Of Scientific School MA SR - 2007 (Conference Hall, IPME RAS). |
ORGANIZING COMMITTEE ADDRESS
IPME RAS, Bolshoi pr., 61. V.O.
199178, St.Petersburg, RUSSIA
Tel.: 7(812)3214766 Fax.: 7(812)3214771
Evgueni Solojentsev ( E_mail: esokar@gmail.com )
Vasily Karasev ( E_mail: info@masr2007.ru )
http://www.ipme.ru/ipme/labs/iisad/sapr1.htm
