MASR - 2010 Program |
TENTH INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC SCHOOL
in SAINT-PETERSBURG, RUSSIA, JULY 6 - 10, 2010
"MODELLING and ANALYSIS of SAFETY and RISK
in COMPLEX SYSTEMS" (MA SR – 2010)
STATUS
The anniversary Tenth International Scientific School "Modeling and Analysis of Safety and Risk in Complex Systems (MASR - 2010)" will be held in Saint-Petersburg, Russia, July 6 - 10, 2010. The School will be organized by Institute of Problems of Mechanical Engineering of Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), Saint-Petersburg Institute of Informatics and Automation of RAS and Bureau of Credit Risk Estimation and Analysis "INO_TEL" Ltd. with the support of the Russian Foundation for Basic Research.
Leading and well-known scientists will give lectures in the field of financial, social, informational and technical risks. The scientific program includes reports and software demonstrations. All participants will have the possibility to see the wonderful city Saint-Petersburg.
The official languages of the School are English and Russian.
The main research areas to be discussed at the School in the year 2010 are:
1. |
Problems of development of I3 - technologies (intellectual, informational, innovative) for management of risk and efficiency in economic and technical systems under statistical data; |
2. |
Development of models for successful decision of complex problems; |
3. |
The consideration of methods of quantitative estimation, analysis, forecasting and management of risk and efficiency in economics, engineering and medicine; |
4. |
Consideration of types of events under statistical data, classes of logical and probabilistic models of risk and efficiency, procedures of I3 - technologies; |
5. |
Forecasting of risk and crisis in complex systems; |
6. |
Consideration of applications of I3 - technologies in economics and engineering; |
7. |
The development of relations between different areas of risk theory application. |
TOPICS
These following more specific topics will be discussed at the School:
Market Risk;
Operational Risk;
Credit Risk;
Security Portfolio Risk;
Classes of Logical and Probabilistic (LP) Risk Models for I3 - technologies: LP-modeling, LP-classification, LP-efficiency, LP-forecasting;
Procedures of I3 - Technologies: Construction, Identification, Analysis, Forecasting and Risk Management, Software Development;
Operative and Strategic Management of Risk and Efficiency in Complex Systems;
Forecasting of Risk and Crisis in Economic Systems;
I3 - Technology Models in Applications;
Training, Testing and Accuracy of Risk Models;
LP Analysis of Risk and Efficiency in Social and Economic Systems;
Risk Models in Macro- and MicroEconomics;
Models for successful decision of complex problems;
Risk of Bribes and Corruption.
b) Risk Models in Engineering and Ecology
Risk Models in Nuclear Power Engineering;
Scenarios and Models of Safety and Failure Risk;
Logical and Probabilistic Risk Models for Systems with Multi-State Elements;
Identification and Optimization in Risk Problems;
Analysis and Management of Risk and Efficiency by Statistical Data;
Software for Modeling and Analysis of Risk and Efficiency;
Software Reliability.
Safety and Risk Models in Medicine
Hospital Risk Management;
Models of Patient Safety Estimation;
Clinical Risk Assessment Methods;
Information Systems for Risk Management in Hospitals;
Methods of Estimation of Medical Staff Mistakes Probability;
Medical Equipment Reliability.
INTERNATIONAL PROGRAM COMMITTEE
Chairman:
N. Machutov, corresponding member RAS (Russia, IME RAS),
Co-chairmen:
A. Agarwal, Professor (India, IIF & IIFBS),
I.I. Eliseeva, Corresponding Member of RAS (Russia, St.PSUEF),
K. Giannopoulos, Professor (UAE, British University in Dubai),
V.I. Khimenko, Professor (Russia, SPbSUAI),
I.A. Ryabinin, Professor (Russia, Naval Academy),
E.D. Solojentsev, Professor (Russia, IPME RAS).
Bochkov A.V. (Russia, VNIIGAZ) |
Mozhaev A.S. (Russia, Sevzapmontazhautomatika) |
Finkelstein M.S. (S. Africa, University of Free State) |
Popentiu F. (UK, City University, UNESCO Chair) |
Indeitsev D.A. (Russia, IPME RAS) |
Righini R. (ENEA, Italy) |
Khimenko V.I. (Russia) |
Rotshtein A. (Israel)(USA) |
Kumamoto H. (Japan, Kyoto University) |
Tsiramua S.G. (Georgia, Tbilisi University) |
Matrosov V.M. (Russia, IME RAS) |
Volik B.G. (Russia, IPC RAS) |
Morosov N.F.(Russia, SPSU) |
Yusupov R.M.(Russia, SPII RAS) |
Acerbi C. (Abax Bank) |
Nikulin M.S. (France, University Bordeaux) |
Barone-Adesi (Switzerland) G. |
Novoselov A.A. (Russia, ICM SB RAS) |
Clark E. (UK, Journal "Frontiers in Finance and Economics") |
Odinets V.P. (Russia) |
Esipov V.E. (Russia) |
Peaucelle I. (France, CNRS/CEPREMAP) |
Gallais-Hamonno G. (France, French Finance Association) |
Rogov M. (Russia, "Dubna" University) |
Gallo G. (Italy, University of Florence) |
Roy N. (USA, Education Committee of PRMIA) |
Golembiovsky D.Yu. (Russia, Bank "ZENIT") |
Rutkauskas A.V. (Lithuania, VGTU) |
Hovanov N.V. (Russia, SPSU) |
Sorwar G. (UK, The University of Nottingham) |
Kibzun A.I. (Russia, MIA) |
Stepanov A.G. (Russia, SPbSUAI) |
Lenz H.-J., (Germany, Freie Universitat) |
Tzavalis E. (Greece, Athens University of Economics & Business) |
Lesnykh V.V. (Russia, VNIIGAZ) |
Uryasev S. (USA, University of Florida)Vitlinsky V.V.(Ukraine, KNEU) |
Sarbesh M. (India, NICMAR's CISC) |
Vitlinsky V.V.(Ukraine, KNEU) |
Djuk V.A. (Russia, SPII RAS) |
Ramaswamy M. (Oman, Ministry of Health) |
Rahim Y. (Italy, University of Torino) |
Trehan N. (India, Escorts Research Institute) |
E.D. Solojentsev, Professor, (Russia, IPME RAS) - chairman,
V.V. Karasev (Russia, IPME RAS) - secretary,
B.V. Sokolov (Russia, SPII RAS),
E.I. Karaseva (Russia, SPbSUAI).
Authors who wish to participate in the School should send a paper or brief thesis of lecture to
inorisk@gmail.com, before April 15, 2010
as Microsoft Word file (not more 6 pages, type 11pt). Prior publication all papers will be peer refereed.
We will send the invitation to authors of accepted papers before May 1, 2010 by E_mail.
The accepted papers will be published as Proceedings of the School by support of Russian Foundation for Basic Research and sponsors. Detailed information about participants, sponsors and the program of the School will be posted at this page.
The Organizing Committee is inviting any other interested parties to support financially the School. Sponsors will be honorary guests of the School. Sponsors may place their logotypes and advertising in School's exhibition hall, School's website and all printing materials.
ORGANIZING COMMITTEE ADDRESS
IPME RAS, Bolshoi pr., 61. V.O.
199178, St.Petersburg, RUSSIA
Tel.: 7(812)3214766 Fax.: 7(812)3214771
Evgueni Solojentsev - chairman
Vasily Karasev - secretary
E_mail: adm@inotel.org, inorisk@gmail.com .
http://www.ipme.ru/ipme/labs/iisad/sapr1.htm